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Red120
551722.1
522421.4
571253.2
Blue61
520320.9
675329.8
831414.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions975805015012061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.22.2
47.049.3
Auto13.5
Teleop31.0
End8.7
red by 23.4
6753
#27
29.80.2
31.431.2
Auto8.2
Teleop13.5
End8.1
Second
22.12.2
17.419.7
Auto7.4
Teleop8.3
End6.4
red by 1.2
5203
#12
20.90.2
16.716.5
Auto5.5
Teleop9.7
End5.6
Third
5224
#28
21.42.2
21.924.1
Auto5.8
Teleop11.2
End4.3
red by 7.1
8314
#36
14.30.2
11.511.2
Auto5.1
Teleop5.5
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned30%Activation oddsMissed