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Red93
696329.9
603317.6
261933.3
Blue72
377037.9
608722.8
522925.3
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions809340601001201401609372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2619
#11
33.31.1
30.932.0
Auto12.8
Teleop10.7
End9.7
blue by 4.7
37.90.9
37.336.4
Auto10.7
Teleop17.2
End10.1
Second
29.91.1
25.726.9
Auto8.4
Teleop13.7
End7.7
red by 4.6
5229
#15
25.30.9
25.324.4
Auto7.4
Teleop11.6
End6.2
Third
6033
#23
17.61.1
19.720.8
Auto5.9
Teleop6.4
End5.3
blue by 5.2
6087
#24
22.80.9
22.922.0
Auto6.9
Teleop12.0
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsMissed