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Red73
31436.6
71096.5
851727.8
Blue72
831414.3
261933.3
664216.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635601001502007372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#10
36.60.1
30.430.3
Auto11.1
Teleop16.2
End9.2
red by 3.3
2619
#11
33.31.2
28.830.0
Auto12.8
Teleop10.7
End9.7
Second
8517
#21
27.80.1
23.022.9
Auto8.1
Teleop12.0
End7.7
red by 11.0
6642
#29
16.81.2
13.514.7
Auto4.9
Teleop5.5
End6.3
Third
7109
#37
6.50.1
4.64.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop4.3
End2.5
blue by 7.8
8314
#36
14.31.2
11.412.7
Auto5.1
Teleop5.5
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
20%Activation oddsMissed30%Activation oddsEarned