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Red119
664216.8
516655.6
571253.2
Blue127
542437.6
377037.9
675329.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1381076080120160180200220119127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.60.2
55.755.6
Auto16.7
Teleop30.0
End8.8
red by 17.6
37.90.5
37.638.1
Auto10.7
Teleop17.2
End10.1
Second
53.20.2
53.453.2
Auto13.5
Teleop31.0
End8.7
red by 15.6
37.60.5
37.237.8
Auto12.5
Teleop18.1
End7.1
Third
6642
#29
16.80.2
16.916.8
Auto4.9
Teleop5.5
End6.3
blue by 13.1
6753
#27
29.80.5
29.429.9
Auto8.2
Teleop13.5
End8.1