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Red40
851917.6
831411.2
556129.8
Blue45
50658.3
612015.9
516725.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585302040801004045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5561
#12
29.81.6
25.123.6
Auto7.4
Teleop15.6
End6.8
red by 3.8
25.91.2
21.720.6
Auto8.3
Teleop8.4
End9.2
Second
8519
#34
17.61.6
17.415.8
Auto6.3
Teleop5.8
End5.5
red by 1.7
6120
#20
15.91.2
19.218.1
Auto3.9
Teleop8.0
End4.0
Third
8314
#36
11.21.6
11.59.9
Auto0.5
Teleop5.7
End5.1
red by 2.9
5065
#30
8.31.2
9.68.4
Auto1.9
Teleop2.4
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
35%Activation oddsMissed36%Activation oddsMissed