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Red50
222417.0
556129.8
516725.9
Blue102
722528.5
759822.5
54831.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions697340608010012050102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5561
#12
29.81.7
24.622.9
Auto7.4
Teleop15.6
End6.8
blue by 1.3
548
#4
31.13.7
25.829.6
Auto9.0
Teleop14.9
End7.2
Second
25.91.7
25.323.6
Auto8.3
Teleop8.4
End9.2
blue by 2.5
7225
#35
28.53.7
17.821.6
Auto8.5
Teleop16.7
End3.1
Third
2224
#21
17.01.7
15.013.4
Auto3.6
Teleop7.6
End5.9
blue by 5.5
22.53.7
24.628.3
Auto5.9
Teleop9.4
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsMissed52%Activation oddsEarned