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Red108
661822.3
353854.0
659113.4
Blue100
705631.7
341432.6
755318.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83845060708090100110108100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.02.8
47.149.9
Auto14.4
Teleop29.9
End9.6
red by 21.5
3414
#13
32.62.3
30.332.6
Auto12.6
Teleop12.8
End7.3
Second
6618
#28
22.32.8
20.623.5
Auto5.0
Teleop12.0
End5.3
blue by 9.3
7056
#14
31.72.1
31.733.8
Auto11.6
Teleop14.7
End5.4
Third
6591
#23
13.42.8
10.913.7
Auto5.5
Teleop3.7
End4.3
blue by 5.4
7553
#17
18.92.1
15.817.9
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsEarned