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Red111
661822.3
54831.1
50332.8
Blue142
722528.5
102537.2
30833.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions891016080120140160111142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#5
32.80.4
32.432.8
Auto10.7
Teleop13.2
End8.9
blue by 4.4
37.20.7
35.536.2
Auto12.0
Teleop19.1
End6.1
Second
548
#4
31.10.4
30.831.1
Auto9.0
Teleop14.9
End7.2
blue by 2.0
308
#10
33.10.7
31.332.1
Auto6.1
Teleop20.7
End6.3
Third
6618
#28
22.30.4
22.022.3
Auto5.0
Teleop12.0
End5.3
blue by 6.1
7225
#35
28.50.7
26.727.5
Auto8.5
Teleop16.7
End3.1