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Red117
468011.0
436244.0
2737.0
Blue93
516725.9
6618.8
705631.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10277406012014011793

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.00.6
44.144.6
Auto14.2
Teleop22.2
End7.5
red by 12.3
7056
#14
31.70.4
31.331.6
Auto11.6
Teleop14.7
End5.4
Second
27
#11
37.00.6
37.137.6
Auto11.2
Teleop17.9
End7.9
red by 11.1
25.90.4
25.525.9
Auto8.3
Teleop8.4
End9.2
Third
4680
#38
11.00.6
11.111.6
Auto3.0
Teleop1.9
End6.1
blue by 7.8
66
#26
18.80.4
18.418.8
Auto6.9
Teleop4.4
End7.6