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Red143
90423.1
357245.4
207554.7
Blue160
353867.9
600517.9
438151.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12714780100120140160180200143160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.70.5
54.254.7
Auto16.4
Teleop30.9
End7.4
blue by 13.2
67.90.4
67.567.9
Auto17.6
Teleop40.2
End10.0
Second
45.40.5
44.945.4
Auto12.8
Teleop24.5
End8.0
blue by 5.8
51.20.4
50.751.2
Auto17.9
Teleop24.6
End8.7
Third
904
#28
23.10.5
22.723.1
Auto5.6
Teleop12.5
End5.1
red by 5.3
6005
#32
17.90.4
17.417.9
Auto1.8
Teleop8.9
End7.2