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Red74
90423.1
354639.6
656117.7
Blue59
600517.9
609419.8
720230.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions695702040801001207459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.60.1
30.730.7
Auto9.7
Teleop24.3
End5.5
red by 9.5
7202
#22
30.10.2
26.927.2
Auto11.7
Teleop14.0
End4.4
Second
904
#28
23.10.1
14.214.3
Auto5.6
Teleop12.5
End5.1
red by 3.3
6094
#21
19.80.4
13.513.9
Auto4.5
Teleop9.2
End6.2
Third
6561
#35
17.70.0
18.418.5
Auto3.9
Teleop8.4
End5.3
blue by 0.2
6005
#32
17.90.4
14.915.3
Auto1.8
Teleop8.9
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
18%Activation oddsMissed26%Activation oddsEarned