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Red44
547011.9
600517.9
90423.1
Blue77
345820.6
781018.1
612820.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425202060801004477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
904
#28
23.10.7
14.313.5
Auto5.6
Teleop12.5
End5.1
red by 2.6
3458
#18
20.63.3
18.822.1
Auto5.1
Teleop10.1
End5.4
Second
6005
#32
17.90.7
15.314.6
Auto1.8
Teleop8.9
End7.2
blue by 2.4
6128
#15
20.33.3
15.218.5
Auto4.4
Teleop10.2
End5.8
Third
5470
#36
11.90.7
10.910.1
Auto1.8
Teleop5.6
End4.5
blue by 6.2
7810
#20
18.13.3
13.516.8
Auto4.8
Teleop7.8
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
17%Activation oddsMissed30%Activation oddsEarned