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Red112
354639.6
495624.7
516732.7
Blue38
922517.0
516214.5
719521.1
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions813505010015011238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.64.7
25.129.7
Auto9.7
Teleop24.3
End5.5
red by 18.5
7195
#23
21.10.1
11.211.1
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End5.4
Second
5167
#13
32.72.8
25.928.7
Auto12.0
Teleop12.7
End7.9
red by 15.7
9225
#34
17.04.7
21.316.6
Auto2.8
Teleop9.8
End4.5
Third
4956
#16
24.74.7
19.023.7
Auto9.3
Teleop10.1
End5.4
red by 10.3
5162
#27
14.50.1
11.211.1
Auto4.1
Teleop5.7
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsEarned11%Activation oddsMissed