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Red30
656117.7
612820.3
642810.4
Blue95
207554.7
828518.3
516214.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions439102060801001201403095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6128
#15
20.31.4
18.116.6
Auto4.4
Teleop10.2
End5.8
blue by 34.4
54.71.4
49.851.2
Auto16.4
Teleop30.9
End7.4
Second
6561
#35
17.71.1
18.117.0
Auto3.9
Teleop8.4
End5.3
blue by 0.6
8285
#30
18.31.4
19.320.8
Auto3.2
Teleop8.4
End6.6
Third
6428
#33
10.41.4
10.18.6
Auto2.0
Teleop2.7
End5.6
blue by 4.1
5162
#27
14.51.1
9.810.9
Auto4.1
Teleop5.7
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsMissed36%Activation oddsEarned