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Red61
600517.9
656117.7
592629.0
Blue82
760212.7
922517.0
438151.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61902040801001201406182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5926
#11
29.00.0
28.028.0
Auto10.7
Teleop10.9
End7.4
blue by 22.2
51.20.6
48.648.0
Auto17.9
Teleop24.6
End8.7
Second
6005
#32
17.90.0
15.915.9
Auto1.8
Teleop8.9
End7.2
red by 0.9
9225
#34
17.00.7
19.018.3
Auto2.8
Teleop9.8
End4.5
Third
6561
#35
17.70.0
17.017.0
Auto3.9
Teleop8.4
End5.3
red by 5.0
7602
#31
12.70.7
13.112.4
Auto1.9
Teleop5.7
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
48%Activation oddsMissed80%Activation oddsMissed