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Red91
335751.2
760212.7
433717.7
Blue115
345820.6
357245.4
719521.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88815010015091115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.20.3
52.152.4
Auto11.7
Teleop29.9
End9.6
red by 5.8
45.42.6
41.744.3
Auto12.8
Teleop24.5
End8.0
Second
4337
#24
17.70.3
17.417.7
Auto5.5
Teleop6.2
End5.9
blue by 3.4
7195
#23
21.12.6
17.219.7
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End5.4
Third
7602
#31
12.70.3
12.412.7
Auto1.9
Teleop5.7
End5.1
blue by 7.8
3458
#18
20.62.8
17.720.6
Auto5.1
Teleop10.1
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
25%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
70%Activation oddsEarned42%Activation oddsEarned