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Qual 192023 Rainbow Rumble
Red129
716626.1
608152.7
283238.8
Blue80
22630.7
103833.8
317534.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1361358010011012013014012980

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6081
#3
52.70.6
52.5→51.9
Auto13.6
Teleop29.4
End9.2
red by 18.1
3175
#24
34.63.4
43.1→39.7
Auto13.9
Teleop13.6
End7.5
Second
2832
#18
38.80.6
42.3→41.7
Auto12.3
Teleop19.1
End7.2
red by 5.0
1038
#23
33.83.4
41.4→38.0
Auto9.0
Teleop20.1
End5.1
Third
7166
#30
26.10.6
34.1→33.5
Auto6.0
Teleop15.4
End4.5
blue by 4.7
226
#29
30.73.4
41.5→38.1
Auto9.7
Teleop17.0
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
36%Sustainability oddsMissed63%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsMissed