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Red99
546064.4
22630.7
432728.2
Blue59
999917.4
317534.6
81839.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152960502009959

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.42.4
63.360.9
Auto15.1
Teleop38.8
End8.5
red by 25.1
818
#27
39.33.3
45.642.3
Auto11.6
Teleop19.7
End6.9
Second
226
#29
30.72.4
38.135.7
Auto9.7
Teleop17.0
End5.0
blue by 3.9
3175
#24
34.63.3
39.736.4
Auto13.9
Teleop13.6
End7.5
Third
4327
#25
28.22.4
34.031.5
Auto10.1
Teleop11.2
End7.4
red by 10.8
9999
Unranked
17.45.5
23.518.0
Auto5.5
Teleop7.7
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
66%Sustainability oddsMissed63%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
85%Activation oddsMissed48%Activation oddsMissed