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Qual 402023 Rainbow Rumble
Red72
30250.0
7211B15.2
261135.5
Blue126
438152.7
335759.1
22630.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10815905020025072126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#16
50.02.6
52.3→49.6
Auto11.3
Teleop26.6
End10.4
blue by 9.1
3357
#4
59.11.4
58.5→57.1
Auto15.6
Teleop29.6
End12.1
Second
2611
#12
35.52.6
36.2→33.6
Auto10.4
Teleop18.7
End6.4
blue by 17.2
4381
#15
52.71.4
51.9→50.5
Auto15.7
Teleop27.8
End8.3
Third
7211B
#26
15.22.6
17.9→15.2
Auto7.9
Teleop5.7
End2.3
blue by 15.5
226
#29
30.71.4
32.7→31.2
Auto9.7
Teleop17.0
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
51%Sustainability oddsMissed84%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
66%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned