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Qual 422023 Rainbow Rumble
Red126
5165.5
81839.3
50341.7
Blue115
3354.9
103833.8
540654.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15614680100120140180200126115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#2
65.51.5
64.3→62.8
Auto14.6
Teleop39.3
End10.0
red by 10.6
33
#17
54.92.2
56.6→54.4
Auto16.3
Teleop28.5
End8.3
Second
503
#6
41.71.5
40.0→38.4
Auto12.5
Teleop21.2
End8.8
blue by 12.7
5406
#7
54.42.2
51.4→49.2
Auto15.4
Teleop31.0
End7.0
Third
818
#27
39.31.5
40.4→38.9
Auto11.6
Teleop19.7
End6.9
red by 5.5
1038
#23
33.82.2
34.1→31.9
Auto9.0
Teleop20.1
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
91%Sustainability oddsMissed90%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsMissed