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Red170
721151.2
719740.3
931249.7
Blue164
607851.2
81839.3
50341.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15313150100200250170164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.20.3
51.351.6
Auto16.0
Teleop25.6
End8.2
blue by 0.1
6078
#13
51.20.6
48.849.4
Auto11.7
Teleop32.4
End6.2
Second
49.70.3
50.750.9
Auto11.0
Teleop30.0
End7.7
red by 8.0
503
#6
41.70.6
39.339.9
Auto12.5
Teleop21.2
End8.8
Third
7197
#19
40.30.3
41.341.5
Auto10.2
Teleop19.9
End9.7
red by 1.0
818
#27
39.30.6
36.937.5
Auto11.6
Teleop19.7
End6.9