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Red0
438152.7
261135.5
283238.8
Blue196
607851.2
81839.3
50341.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1321360501001500196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4381
#15DQ
52.70.9
51.852.7
Auto15.7
Teleop27.8
End8.3
red by 1.5
6078
#13
51.20.6
49.450.0
Auto11.7
Teleop32.4
End6.2
Second
2832
#18DQ
38.80.9
37.938.8
Auto12.3
Teleop19.1
End7.2
blue by 2.9
503
#6
41.70.6
39.940.5
Auto12.5
Teleop21.2
End8.8
Third
2611
#12DQ
35.50.9
34.635.5
Auto10.4
Teleop18.7
End6.4
blue by 3.8
818
#27
39.30.6
37.538.1
Auto11.6
Teleop19.7
End6.9