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Red103
889521.1
608149.8
332235.6
Blue138
86249.1
505052.8
921114.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11112950100150200103138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.80.1
49.849.7
Auto15.6
Teleop24.9
End9.4
blue by 3.0
52.80.1
53.453.5
Auto15.6
Teleop28.9
End8.1
Second
35.60.1
35.535.4
Auto9.1
Teleop18.0
End8.5
blue by 13.5
862
#4
49.10.1
49.749.8
Auto9.9
Teleop30.0
End9.2
Third
8895
#30
21.10.1
21.020.9
Auto8.5
Teleop5.9
End6.6
red by 6.4
9211
#32
14.70.1
15.315.4
Auto4.2
Teleop6.3
End4.2