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Red42
889521.1
722525.3
550912.0
Blue66
661524.7
150429.6
655619.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6666455560654266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7225
#29
25.31.3
28.527.1
Auto7.8
Teleop14.5
End3.0
blue by 4.2
1504
#16
29.60.3
26.626.9
Auto8.3
Teleop12.6
End8.6
Second
8895
#30
21.11.3
17.616.3
Auto8.5
Teleop5.9
End6.6
blue by 3.6
6615
#20
24.70.3
17.818.1
Auto9.7
Teleop10.8
End4.2
Third
5509
#36
12.01.3
15.714.3
Auto2.2
Teleop6.1
End3.7
blue by 7.0
6556
#15
19.00.3
17.217.5
Auto2.8
Teleop8.5
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
17%Activation oddsMissed39%Activation oddsEarned