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Red58
564127.4
837422.7
921017.9
Blue57
661524.7
81530.1
889521.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions666240507080905857

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5641
#17
27.40.2
27.327.1
Auto9.7
Teleop10.4
End7.4
blue by 2.7
815
#10
30.10.1
24.124.0
Auto10.3
Teleop13.7
End6.0
Second
8374
#11
22.70.2
16.015.8
Auto6.7
Teleop9.8
End6.1
blue by 2.0
6615
#20
24.70.1
18.118.0
Auto9.7
Teleop10.8
End4.2
Third
9210
#25
17.90.2
17.817.5
Auto6.0
Teleop4.6
End7.3
blue by 3.2
8895
#30
21.10.1
16.316.2
Auto8.5
Teleop5.9
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
84%Activation oddsMissed36%Activation oddsMissed