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Red100
356828.7
889521.1
506730.9
Blue59
150226.6
370726.9
921017.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6762408010012010059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.92.5
22.224.7
Auto10.0
Teleop13.3
End7.6
red by 4.0
3707
#27
26.90.3
22.121.8
Auto5.1
Teleop15.7
End6.1
Second
3568
#35
28.72.5
23.626.1
Auto8.5
Teleop16.4
End3.7
red by 2.1
1502
#28
26.60.3
19.018.7
Auto6.8
Teleop11.7
End8.0
Third
8895
#30
21.12.5
16.218.7
Auto8.5
Teleop5.9
End6.6
red by 3.2
9210
#25
17.90.3
17.517.2
Auto6.0
Teleop4.6
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
26%Activation oddsMissed30%Activation oddsMissed