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Red107
505052.8
661524.7
920922.7
Blue70
150226.6
722122.4
356828.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions996120408012014010770

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.81.3
48.549.7
Auto15.6
Teleop28.9
End8.1
red by 24.1
3568
#35
28.70.5
26.126.7
Auto8.5
Teleop16.4
End3.7
Second
6615
#20
24.71.2
18.319.5
Auto9.7
Teleop10.8
End4.2
blue by 1.9
1502
#28
26.60.5
18.719.2
Auto6.8
Teleop11.7
End8.0
Third
9209
#14
22.71.3
21.522.8
Auto5.5
Teleop7.7
End9.5
red by 0.4
7221
#18
22.40.5
17.017.5
Auto6.8
Teleop11.9
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
49%Activation oddsEarned12%Activation oddsMissed