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Red76
440548.0
608918.4
924122.5
Blue113
332235.6
90429.5
10748.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77115406010014016018020076113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.00.1
39.939.8
Auto11.4
Teleop26.8
End9.9
blue by 0.3
107
#5
48.40.3
44.244.6
Auto12.5
Teleop26.5
End9.4
Second
9241
#13
22.50.1
17.817.7
Auto5.1
Teleop9.9
End7.5
blue by 13.1
35.60.3
28.729.1
Auto9.1
Teleop18.0
End8.5
Third
6089
#34
18.40.1
19.319.3
Auto4.2
Teleop11.1
End3.0
blue by 11.1
904
#9
29.50.3
29.830.2
Auto11.9
Teleop10.2
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed15%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
37%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsEarned