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Red78
150429.6
439512.8
107631.0
Blue90
150226.6
883215.8
661524.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70562040801001207890

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1076
#12
31.01.0
21.622.6
Auto8.9
Teleop13.5
End8.5
red by 4.4
1502
#28
26.62.4
21.423.7
Auto6.8
Teleop11.7
End8.0
Second
1504
#16
29.61.0
28.529.5
Auto8.3
Teleop12.6
End8.6
red by 4.9
6615
#20
24.72.4
20.723.1
Auto9.7
Teleop10.8
End4.2
Third
4395
#33
12.81.0
13.614.5
Auto3.1
Teleop3.6
End6.2
blue by 2.9
8832
#22
15.82.4
12.514.9
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
40%Activation oddsEarned28%Activation oddsMissed