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Red91
332235.6
506629.9
655619.0
Blue124
86249.1
921114.7
505052.8
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84121406010014016018091124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.60.2
33.333.5
Auto9.1
Teleop18.0
End8.5
blue by 17.2
52.81.0
51.152.1
Auto15.6
Teleop28.9
End8.1
Second
5066
#24
29.90.2
31.431.6
Auto11.2
Teleop12.7
End5.9
blue by 19.2
862
#4
49.11.0
45.246.2
Auto9.9
Teleop30.0
End9.2
Third
6556
#15
19.00.2
18.718.9
Auto2.8
Teleop8.5
End7.7
red by 4.4
9211
#32
14.71.0
12.413.4
Auto4.2
Teleop6.3
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed22%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned