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Red65
90429.5
150429.6
370726.9
Blue114
505052.8
610123.1
837422.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91102608012014016065114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1504
#16
29.61.8
30.228.4
Auto8.3
Teleop12.6
End8.6
blue by 23.2
52.81.3
52.153.5
Auto15.6
Teleop28.9
End8.1
Second
904
#9
29.51.8
31.629.8
Auto11.9
Teleop10.2
End7.4
red by 6.4
6101
#26
23.11.3
23.424.7
Auto8.5
Teleop11.4
End3.2
Third
3707
#27
26.91.8
24.722.9
Auto5.1
Teleop15.7
End6.1
red by 4.2
8374
#11
22.71.3
18.720.0
Auto6.7
Teleop9.8
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed16%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
67%Activation oddsMissed55%Activation oddsEarned