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Red131
837422.7
608149.8
107631.0
Blue75
370726.9
439512.8
655619.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10750015013175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.82.5
46.248.8
Auto15.6
Teleop24.9
End9.4
red by 22.9
3707
#27
26.91.1
22.924.0
Auto5.1
Teleop15.7
End6.1
Second
1076
#12
31.02.5
27.029.5
Auto8.9
Teleop13.5
End8.5
red by 11.9
6556
#15
19.01.1
18.319.3
Auto2.8
Teleop8.5
End7.7
Third
8374
#11
22.72.5
20.022.6
Auto6.7
Teleop9.8
End6.1
red by 9.8
4395
#33
12.81.1
12.913.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.6
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned43%Activation oddsMissed