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Red143
889521.1
505052.8
150429.6
Blue86
81530.1
570822.6
608918.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120625010015014386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.80.1
53.453.3
Auto15.6
Teleop28.9
End8.1
red by 22.7
815
#10
30.11.4
26.928.2
Auto10.3
Teleop13.7
End6.0
Second
1504
#16
29.60.1
28.328.2
Auto8.3
Teleop12.6
End8.6
red by 6.9
5708
#31
22.61.4
22.824.1
Auto4.4
Teleop13.9
End4.4
Third
8895
#30
21.10.1
23.723.6
Auto8.5
Teleop5.9
End6.6
red by 2.7
6089
#34
18.41.4
15.917.3
Auto4.2
Teleop11.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
23%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned35%Activation oddsMissed