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Red101
921114.7
332235.6
81530.1
Blue76
570822.6
610123.1
150226.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions818005010015020010176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.61.3
35.136.4
Auto9.1
Teleop18.0
End8.5
red by 9.0
1502
#28
26.60.6
26.025.4
Auto6.8
Teleop11.7
End8.0
Second
815
#10
30.11.3
28.229.6
Auto10.3
Teleop13.7
End6.0
red by 6.9
6101
#26
23.10.6
24.824.2
Auto8.5
Teleop11.4
End3.2
Third
9211
#32
14.71.3
12.814.1
Auto4.2
Teleop6.3
End4.2
blue by 8.0
5708
#31
22.60.6
24.123.5
Auto4.4
Teleop13.9
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
61%Activation oddsEarned22%Activation oddsEarned