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Red110
921114.7
505052.8
86249.1
Blue145
332235.6
608149.8
889521.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1311086080100120140160180200110145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.80.3
53.853.5
Auto15.6
Teleop28.9
End8.1
red by 3.0
49.80.7
49.249.8
Auto15.6
Teleop24.9
End9.4
Second
862
#4
49.10.3
50.149.8
Auto9.9
Teleop30.0
End9.2
red by 13.5
35.60.7
34.935.6
Auto9.1
Teleop18.0
End8.5
Third
9211
#32
14.70.3
15.715.4
Auto4.2
Teleop6.3
End4.2
blue by 6.4
8895
#30
21.10.7
20.421.1
Auto8.5
Teleop5.9
End6.6