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Red138
921114.7
505052.8
86249.1
Blue126
10748.4
440548.0
722122.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127126122124128130132134136138126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.80.4
53.553.9
Auto15.6
Teleop28.9
End8.1
red by 4.4
107
#5
48.40.1
48.348.4
Auto12.5
Teleop26.5
End9.4
Second
862
#4
49.10.4
49.850.2
Auto9.9
Teleop30.0
End9.2
red by 1.0
48.00.1
48.048.0
Auto11.4
Teleop26.8
End9.9
Third
9211
#32
14.70.4
15.415.8
Auto4.2
Teleop6.3
End4.2
blue by 7.7
7221
#18
22.40.1
22.322.4
Auto6.8
Teleop11.9
End3.7