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Red99
506730.9
506629.9
567429.2
Blue93
107631.0
837422.7
150226.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99820501509993

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.2
31.231.3
Auto10.0
Teleop13.3
End7.6
blue by 0.1
1076
#12
31.00.3
30.731.0
Auto8.9
Teleop13.5
End8.5
Second
5066
#24
29.90.2
30.130.3
Auto11.2
Teleop12.7
End5.9
red by 3.3
1502
#28
26.60.3
26.326.6
Auto6.8
Teleop11.7
End8.0
Third
29.20.2
29.529.7
Auto10.0
Teleop14.5
End4.8
red by 6.6
8374
#11
22.70.3
22.422.7
Auto6.7
Teleop9.8
End6.1