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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions817102004006008001,0008852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.10.2
28.728.5
Auto13.1
Teleop17.6
End7.4
blue by 3.1
41.21.8
29.527.7
Auto14.3
Teleop19.3
End7.7
Second
3875
#13
23.30.2
25.225.0
Auto6.7
Teleop11.9
End4.7
red by 4.9
5623
#21
18.41.8
24.322.6
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End4.7
Third
5056
#17
17.10.2
21.120.9
Auto4.3
Teleop8.1
End4.7
blue by 1.0
5227
#24
18.21.2
14.012.8
Auto7.7
Teleop6.3
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
54%Activation oddsEarned43%Activation oddsMissed