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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5049304060702630

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1940
#12
18.32.3
18.216.0
Auto4.1
Teleop8.0
End6.2
blue by 0.4
5610
#14
18.71.7
16.114.3
Auto3.6
Teleop10.7
End4.4
Second
5247
#37
14.62.3
18.816.6
Auto2.6
Teleop8.9
End3.0
blue by 2.6
5056
#17
17.11.7
16.714.9
Auto4.3
Teleop8.1
End4.7
Third
7809
#39
7.82.3
9.37.1
Auto1.8
Teleop3.0
End2.9
blue by 7.3
5110
#22
15.01.7
12.911.2
Auto2.6
Teleop6.7
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
31%Activation oddsMissed30%Activation oddsMissed