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Red63
7434.5
511015.0
781411.6
Blue58
721012.9
923915.7
553521.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565102040801006358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#9
34.51.2
30.832.0
Auto9.6
Teleop17.2
End7.7
red by 13.0
5535
#31
21.50.6
18.918.3
Auto7.7
Teleop9.2
End4.6
Second
5110
#22
15.01.2
11.012.2
Auto2.6
Teleop6.7
End5.7
blue by 0.7
9239
#30
15.70.3
15.915.5
Auto3.0
Teleop7.4
End5.4
Third
7814
#23
11.61.2
10.211.4
Auto1.5
Teleop6.8
End3.3
blue by 1.3
7210
#38
12.90.6
13.412.8
Auto2.7
Teleop4.8
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
27%Activation oddsMissed33%Activation oddsMissed