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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90520204060801001201401607154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#9
34.50.9
33.132.2
Auto9.6
Teleop17.2
End7.7
red by 5.5
9208
#34
29.00.0
31.731.7
Auto8.8
Teleop15.7
End4.5
Second
3875
#13
23.30.9
28.927.9
Auto6.7
Teleop11.9
End4.7
red by 6.1
5982
#26
17.20.0
14.814.8
Auto6.6
Teleop6.6
End4.0
Third
3452
#32
16.40.9
18.017.1
Auto2.5
Teleop6.0
End7.9
red by 8.6
7809
#39
7.80.0
7.37.3
Auto1.8
Teleop3.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned12%Activation oddsMissed