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Red105
522718.2
567538.1
477630.5
Blue89
515236.9
553521.5
518220.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7479406010012010589

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.12.7
32.635.3
Auto13.1
Teleop17.6
End7.4
red by 1.2
36.91.4
33.735.1
Auto8.0
Teleop19.3
End9.6
Second
30.52.7
23.826.5
Auto6.0
Teleop15.4
End9.0
red by 9.0
5535
#31
21.51.5
20.822.3
Auto7.7
Teleop9.2
End4.6
Third
5227
#24
18.22.0
13.715.7
Auto7.7
Teleop6.3
End4.2
blue by 2.0
5182
#19
20.21.4
18.720.1
Auto2.8
Teleop12.1
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
48%Activation oddsEarned58%Activation oddsEarned