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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10069204060801201408084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.32.0
40.938.9
Auto10.4
Teleop22.5
End9.4
red by 5.4
36.90.8
35.136.0
Auto8.0
Teleop19.3
End9.6
Second
9208
#34
29.01.5
31.229.7
Auto8.8
Teleop15.7
End4.5
red by 10.7
1940
#12
18.30.8
16.917.7
Auto4.1
Teleop8.0
End6.2
Third
5980
#27
17.71.8
18.116.3
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End5.6
red by 0.6
5056
#17
17.10.8
16.717.5
Auto4.3
Teleop8.1
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
18%Activation oddsMissed39%Activation oddsEarned