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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3811805010015020041116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3658
#29
20.00.4
20.820.4
Auto5.3
Teleop9.3
End5.4
blue by 27.5
47.51.3
42.643.8
Auto15.3
Teleop24.0
End8.2
Second
3452
#32
16.40.4
16.215.8
Auto2.5
Teleop6.0
End7.9
blue by 23.6
40.01.0
38.239.3
Auto13.3
Teleop16.0
End10.8
Third
7809
#39
7.80.4
9.18.7
Auto1.8
Teleop3.0
End2.9
blue by 14.1
8126
#20
21.91.3
19.821.0
Auto6.5
Teleop8.3
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
17%Activation oddsMissed97%Activation oddsEarned