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Red128
150651.0
30257.5
65338.8
Blue107
550545.7
924522.8
521649.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123126100110120130140150160128107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#1
57.50.3
57.057.3
Auto15.9
Teleop32.4
End9.0
red by 8.2
49.30.4
49.749.4
Auto12.5
Teleop25.8
End10.9
Second
51.00.3
50.550.8
Auto14.8
Teleop27.3
End8.7
red by 5.3
45.70.4
46.145.8
Auto13.3
Teleop27.9
End4.4
Third
6533
#32
8.80.3
8.38.6
Auto3.4
Teleop2.4
End3.0
blue by 13.9
9245
#22
22.80.4
23.222.8
Auto8.2
Teleop10.4
End4.0