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Red18
71094.4
522920.3
571413.6
Blue113
24541.0
553313.3
30257.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43109010015018113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5229
#20
20.33.4
18.615.2
Auto6.0
Teleop7.7
End6.6
blue by 37.2
302
#1
57.51.4
47.849.2
Auto15.9
Teleop32.4
End9.0
Second
5714
#30
13.62.0
12.310.3
Auto4.6
Teleop4.7
End4.3
blue by 27.4
245
#6
41.01.3
30.531.8
Auto10.7
Teleop22.7
End7.6
Third
7109
#39
4.43.4
17.514.1
Auto0.2
Teleop3.5
End0.7
blue by 8.9
5533
#36
13.31.3
15.817.0
Auto7.3
Teleop2.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsMissed59%Activation oddsEarned