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Red136
364142.8
521649.3
54836.8
Blue62
522920.3
261928.6
607121.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11257020408010012014016013662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.34.2
29.533.7
Auto12.5
Teleop25.8
End10.9
red by 20.7
2619
#16
28.60.2
25.425.6
Auto11.6
Teleop9.7
End7.3
Second
3641
#10
42.84.2
33.838.0
Auto10.8
Teleop23.1
End8.9
red by 21.5
6071
#25
21.30.2
16.817.0
Auto6.1
Teleop9.1
End6.1
Third
548
#2
36.82.5
34.737.3
Auto10.5
Teleop18.5
End7.8
red by 16.5
5229
#20
20.30.2
18.218.3
Auto6.0
Teleop7.7
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
67%Activation oddsEarned38%Activation oddsEarned