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Red65
922731.1
819316.3
553313.3
Blue71
438218.9
553815.6
261928.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64583040507080901006571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9227
#12
31.10.6
25.526.1
Auto12.1
Teleop11.4
End7.6
red by 2.6
2619
#16
28.61.7
28.430.1
Auto11.6
Teleop9.7
End7.3
Second
8193
#38
16.30.4
19.119.4
Auto4.7
Teleop8.7
End3.0
blue by 2.6
4382
#23
18.91.7
13.315.0
Auto4.7
Teleop9.2
End5.0
Third
5533
#36
13.30.4
14.915.3
Auto7.3
Teleop2.8
End3.3
blue by 2.3
5538
#17
15.61.0
13.814.8
Auto3.8
Teleop5.2
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
39%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsEarned