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Red126
54836.8
721141.6
400337.5
Blue113
521649.3
607121.3
716637.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12290406080100140160180126113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.61.7
41.443.0
Auto13.2
Teleop20.8
End7.6
blue by 7.7
49.32.7
40.343.0
Auto12.5
Teleop25.8
End10.9
Second
4003
#13
37.51.7
30.632.2
Auto9.9
Teleop19.7
End7.9
blue by 0.4
37.91.6
34.035.6
Auto8.9
Teleop22.1
End6.9
Third
548
#2
36.81.0
38.939.9
Auto10.5
Teleop18.5
End7.8
red by 15.5
6071
#25
21.32.7
14.617.3
Auto6.1
Teleop9.1
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsEarned