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Red32
52348.9
552520.5
553815.6
Blue125
550545.7
89432.8
499429.6
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42102015032125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5525
#33
20.51.7
23.621.9
Auto3.8
Teleop12.6
End4.1
blue by 25.2
45.72.1
40.042.1
Auto13.3
Teleop27.9
End4.4
Second
5538
#17
15.61.0
14.813.8
Auto3.8
Teleop5.2
End6.6
blue by 17.1
894
#24
32.82.1
25.827.9
Auto8.5
Teleop20.0
End4.3
Third
5234
#31
8.91.0
8.87.8
Auto3.3
Teleop2.5
End3.1
blue by 20.7
4994
#11
29.62.1
22.324.5
Auto6.9
Teleop15.1
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
21%Activation oddsMissed27%Activation oddsMissed